1000x Podcast
January 28, 2025

Why There Wont Be An Alt Season This Cycle

In this episode, the hosts delve into the evolving cryptocurrency landscape, highlighting the shift from traditional altcoin seasons to more focused, sector-based trends, while also exploring the interplay between AI advancements and strategic Bitcoin initiatives globally.

1. Absence of a Traditional Alt Season

"I've been pounding the table pretty early since pretty early that there's going to be no alt season this time that there will be sector-based seasons..."

- The hosts assert that an overarching alt season is unlikely due to the sheer number of altcoins and limited capital.

- Instead, growth is expected to be concentrated within specific sectors, particularly AI, rather than across all altcoins.

- Recent altcoin rallies have lacked the breadth seen in previous cycles, with limited outperformance compared to Bitcoin.

2. AI Advancements and Market Impact

"People are freaking out about deep seek because they've proved that you could run these models on far less compute power than we originally believed..."

- DeepSeek's ability to run AI models with reduced compute power challenges existing semiconductor demand forecasts.

- Contrary to concerns, cheaper AI could drive higher adoption rates by making AI services more affordable and accessible.

- The open-source nature of AI advancements like DeepSeek may foster decentralized applications, potentially benefiting the broader crypto ecosystem.

3. Bitcoin's Strategic Reserves Initiative "Deputy from the Russian Duma submitted a proposal to the Russian finance minister to create a strategic Bitcoin Reserve..."

- Multiple countries, including Russia, Canada, and Brazil, are considering establishing strategic Bitcoin reserves, signaling growing institutional acceptance.

- US states are also exploring similar initiatives, which could enhance Bitcoin's legitimacy as a reserve asset.

- These moves may drive increased demand for Bitcoin as governments seek to diversify their reserves and leverage cryptocurrency's potential.

4. Ethereum's Declining Prospects "Ethereum is too outdated...no real leadership...the momentum from its ETF advantage is fading..."

The hosts express skepticism about Ethereum's future, citing leadership challenges and diminishing competitive edges.

- Technical limitations and reliance on outdated infrastructure could hinder Ethereum's long-term viability.

- Investors are encouraged to reassess their Ethereum holdings in favor of more promising blockchain projects with stronger fundamentals.

Key Takeaways:

  • Focus on Sector-Based Investments: With alt seasons becoming less likely, investors should concentrate on specific sectors like AI to identify high-potential opportunities.
  • AI's Role in Enhancing Crypto Ecosystems: Advancements in AI, such as DeepSeek, can lower costs and increase accessibility, presenting new avenues for growth within the crypto market.
  • Strategic Bitcoin Reserves as a Catalyst: The adoption of Bitcoin reserves by nations and states could significantly boost Bitcoin's institutional standing and long-term value, making it a pivotal asset for investors.

For further insights and detailed discussions, watch the full podcast: Link